129764786854843750_197By Hua Yuan real estate Chairman ren Zhiqiang oral, editor in Chief of Mi Hedou--and the memories of the red guards in the book man in the age, ren Zhiqiang make predictions about the future development of China's real estate, and recalled the huayuan business experience. Ren Zhiqiang: after 2020 China real estate development will become more subdued ren Zhiqiang judgment before 2020 is a peak, then openBeginning tends to decline or flat. Is not going to drop before 2020, and will always be an increase in process. This is mainly because many populations is related to. One of the most basic case, 1950, was the first baby boomers, these people into the 1970 's, 1980 's and have the second generation. In 1970 's and 1980 's, was the second "babyTide. "two baby boomers are linked together. From the perspective of housing, from marriage to children, is in two stages: the first stage is married
diablo 3 gold, one is to have children and to improve phase. Now, the general rule is, stages of under 30 years of age are married, live in small houses; after the age of 30, children, next three-bedroom or larger areas, into the big house. These two phasesConditions, will last until 2020.
Yihou, as the population decline in the birth rate, school-age population, decline in the population is 20 to 30 years. In other countries, analysis of real estate, what a concept: "family splitting speed." " Division "
tera gold, not a divorce, but say you are from a family into two families. From the splitting speed to measure the demand for housing.In our country, until after 2020, the speed will start to go down, that is, ten years before the splitting speed is increased.
However, this is not urbanized, don't count the peasants that together. From the Office building, Office building, you can see the speed of transfer of primary industry, secondary industry to the third estate. We now transfer speed, therefore, business writingProperty development has been very rapid. The two are consistent. Proportion of the tertiary industry know, every 1%, how many offices are very clear, commercial office building is developed accordingly.
Both of these indicators is very important, however, is not common in our country. In addition, our country has a "generation help." is older, the privatization of housesHigher the rate. Like those old cadres, or old family, enjoying the benefits of housing subsidies, they no longer have spent too much on the House, so they join this transfer spending to children. The transfer degrees are very large, or is the old House to the child, or buy a new House for the children. Intergenerational help this is not said in a foreign country, are basicallyAfter the age of 18 or their own independent, even in school is a purchase loan, regardless of their parents. Why don't they have any help? Here is a very important reason is that the estate tax issue. My family
tera power leveling, sons and daughters cannot inherit, and also can't inherit. Like Japan, his duty is 62%. 60% to pay taxes, it's better to get a mortgage to buy a newIt.
Estate duty is can't mortgage, you want to rewrite. Land resources is a problem, I do not consider this to be a problem. However, the countries believed that, "imaginary enemy", feeling that to fight a world war, it has no sense. I think, will not play in the future world war, never. International condemnation of force and nuclear deterrence, is most commonNot China made to you. I think China will now always take into account issues of war, "1.8 billion acres" them. Wrong. I agree with the views of Mao yushi: come up with us $ 5 billion, easy to import food, several hundreds of millions of acres of arable land can be reduced. We are now 0.3%, land use, use 1% in the land ofPeople live, do not? There should be no problem. Our present urban land, less than 40,000 square kilometers. This 40,000 square kilometers of 9.6 million square kilometers, you count, only about 0.4%, right? Too little! Why come up with something to you! Farmer's land privatization if you won't, this problem can't be solved. Rural 16,000 sq kmHouse, not a city person many people live, most of the area is. In fact, there are 50 million acres is enough! Can free up hundreds of millions of acres of land.
����Of course, it is a rural, agricultural policy issues. Online statement Gold: gold online reprint of the above content, does not indicate that confirm the description, for investors ' reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Investor operations accordingly, at your own risk.
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